Preregistered study protocol · Wave 1 active

The Linco African Clinical AI Safety Benchmark

A double-blinded study in which licensed Ethiopian physicians evaluate how two frontier AI models: one from OpenAI and one from Google: write clinical instructions in Amharic: whether the advice is safe, whether the language is usable, and whether it matches Ethiopian national treatment guidance.

Study reference
LNC-CAB
Protocol status
Preregistered (open-science registry)
Clinical geography
Ethiopia · Amharic
Reference standards
Ethiopian STG · EFDA Formulary
Why this study exists

Almost every medical AI benchmark is written in English, for Western hospitals.

Health workers and patients across Africa already ask AI models for medical guidance in their own language. Yet the evaluations that decide whether a model is considered clinically reliable are overwhelmingly English-language and anchored to Western tertiary care. Three failure modes are invisible to those benchmarks.

Translated, not localised

A model can be correct in English and dangerous in Amharic: a dose, a volume or a warning can shift meaning when it is translated literally.

Guideline divergence

Advice may follow an international protocol while contradicting Ethiopian standard treatment guidance that clinicians are required to follow.

Formulary mismatch

Models routinely recommend medicines that are not stocked at district level or not listed by the national regulator, leaving the patient with no usable instruction.

Protocol

How the evaluation is run

The protocol is designed so that the resulting dataset can be inspected, reproduced and defended.

Double-blinded presentation

Each case is answered independently by two frontier models: one from OpenAI and one from Google. Reviewers see the two answers side by side in a randomised order, with model identities withheld before, during and after submission.

Licensed physicians only

Every reviewer is a credential-verified clinician practising in Ethiopia. Credentials are checked by Linco staff before a reviewer is admitted to the study cohort.

No machine grading

No model scores another model. Every judgement in the dataset is a human clinical judgement, recorded with the reviewer's specialty and review duration.

Word-level grounding

Reviewers highlight the exact phrase at issue, tag the error type, explain the clinical problem and write the phrasing that should have been used instead.

Mandatory written ground truth

Each submission requires a written clinical justification and a corrected patient instruction of at least 20 words. There is no upper limit.

Immutable submissions

A completed review is locked. Nothing can be edited afterwards, so the record stays audit-ready for clients, funders and reviewers.

Provenance recorded with every case

Both answers are generated from an identical, neutral prompt and stored word for word, together with the model identifier, the API run identifier and the UTC timestamp. Nothing shown to a reviewer is edited, shortened or rewritten by Linco.

Preregistration

Protocol registered before confirmatory data collection

The Wave 1 study design was preregistered with a timestamped, public open-science registry in October 2026, before confirmatory cases were evaluated. The registration fixes the case generation method, blinding procedure, reviewer qualification criteria, rating rubric, minimum and maximum reviews per case, and the statistical analysis plan, including inter-rater reliability. Data collected during the earlier pilot (Wave 0) is reported separately as exploratory and is excluded from confirmatory analysis.

Research institutions, grant reviewers and partners may request the full protocol and registry verification by contacting info@lincomedical.com.

Wave 1

Study targets

Wave 1 is the first confirmatory phase of a broader evaluation framework. Targets describe the planned scope, not results.

100 clinical cases

Synthetic clinical directives written around Ethiopian practice, released on a rolling daily schedule.

3 to 7 reviews per case

Each case is reviewed independently by credential-verified physicians, with a minimum before analysis and a cap to prevent any single case from dominating.

Reliability reported openly

Agreement between physicians is measured with established statistics and reported in full, including where agreement is low.

Error taxonomy

What physicians record on each highlighted phrase

Reviewers rate each answer separately for clinical safety and for Amharic quality, then mark the specific words at fault using a fixed taxonomy. Every mark carries a written explanation and a suggested correction.

  • Dangerous dosage or dilution
  • Contraindicated in this patient
  • Hallucinated or invented content
  • Missing danger signs
  • Unnatural or literal Amharic
  • Grammar or spelling error
  • Local formulary mismatch
  • Incomplete clinical workup
Evaluation domains

The clinical areas under evaluation

Cases are written around the clinical realities of Ethiopian practice and released on a rolling basis. Individual cases, their clinical hypotheses and the model answers are withheld from this page so that reviewers are never primed before they evaluate.

Domain 01

Maternal health and teratogenic safety

Gestational-age-specific pharmacotherapy, contraindicated medicines in pregnancy, and the warning signs a patient must be told to act on.

Domain 02

Paediatric acute care and dehydration

Home preparation and administration instructions, weight-based dosing, and the red flags that require immediate referral.

Domain 03

Complex infectious disease and polypharmacy

Co-treatment sequencing, drug-drug interactions, adherence counselling, and dose adjustment for organ impairment.

Domain 04

Narrow therapeutic index and chronic care

Anticoagulation and other fine-margin regimens, dietary and medicine interactions, monitoring intervals, and haemorrhage or deterioration danger signs.

The full case bank, including the clinical hypothesis behind each case, is available to research funders and partners under review conditions that preserve the blinding of the active cohort.

Study objectives

What we are building toward

Funding goes directly to physician compensation, credential verification and analysis of the completed reviews.

Scale the cohort

Expand to several hundred completed, credential-verified evaluations across multiple specialties and regions.

Publish the findings

Release a clinical safety and localisation report covering head-to-head results, the error taxonomy and worked case studies.

Share the method

Make the protocol, the taxonomy and an anonymised sample of the dataset available so others can reproduce and extend the work.

Results are reported only from reviews that have actually been submitted. Linco publishes no figure, finding or claim that the completed dataset does not support.

Work with us on this study

We welcome research funders, AI safety teams and health organisations who want access to the methodology, the dataset or a dedicated evaluation cohort. Physicians licensed in Ethiopia can join the reviewing cohort directly.

Or email info@lincomedical.com. General background on our expert network is on the Expert Network page.